Bureau of Anomalous Regulation
DOC-000-17 / Anomaly Regulation Case File
CASE-0117 - "STRAWBERRY SIGNAL"
Control Code-Modifiers
OBS-B/L
Hazard Types
F/M
Protocol
PALE HORSE
Lead Investigator
Dr. Miriam Achterberg / BAR-OPM-31164
CONTAINMENT PROTOCOL
CASE-0117 cannot be physically contained and is not to be contained. The phenomenon is classified as self-normalizing under REG-800-12 and is exempt from civilian amnestic procedure. Bureau responsibility is limited to three activities: maintaining commercial cover, measuring the phenomenon under Program PG-0117-600-01 "LARARIUM", and enforcing the non-intervention requirement set out below. The case falls under Protocol PR-400-74 "PALE HORSE" by computed classification. In practice, the Protocol is applied only to causality monitoring of LARARIUM register data.
Commercial cover. Notwithstanding the REG-800-12 exemption, Cover Story CC-0117-01 has been maintained since 1951 as a precautionary measure following Incident CASE-0117-1. The cover story attributes CASE-0117 units to ordinary commercial manufacture. It is supported by commercial cover entities operating under the Department of Aberrant Incidents, the first of which began operating in Arroyito, Córdoba Province, Argentina, on 1951-07-05 and continues to trade as Arcor. Twelve further entities currently operate in twenty-eight countries. Staff of the cover entities are civilians and are not informed of CASE-0117. DAI is responsible for the following:
- Maintenance of trademark registrations, product listings, wrapper print records, and production schedules consistent with manufacture of the product.
- Maintenance of retail stock at the minimum level required to sustain the appearance of commercial availability. Retail stock is sourced through ████████.
- Response to civilian inquiries into the origin of the product through each entity's ordinary customer-relations channels. Any inquiry that persists beyond a second response is referred to DAI.
Measurement. The LARARIUM register is maintained by the Office of Paranormal Metrics. Register procedure is as follows:
- OPM field researchers, operating under cover of ████████, take counts at each registered household's primary receptacle at fourteen-day intervals. Household members are not informed.
- At each count, every unit present is marked at the wrapper twist with ultraviolet-fluorescent ink (silver-activated zinc sulfide in a nitrocellulose lacquer base). Unmarked units present at the following count are recorded as appearances.
- Each registered family unit receives an independent cohesion assessment every quarter. The assessment is conducted under the same cover, through structured observation of contact frequency, attendance at shared meals and holidays, and correspondence.
- Continuous photographic or film monitoring of a primary receptacle is prohibited. See Phenomenological Summary.
- Introduction of units into a registered household by Bureau personnel is prohibited. See Incident CASE-0117-2.
Non-intervention.
CRITICAL: Personnel are prohibited from acting upon LARARIUM data in respect of any registered household, family unit, or family member.
Prohibited action includes contact with family members, whether attributed or anonymous; communication of register findings in any form; and any arrangement intended to bring family members into contact with one another. Breach constitutes a Level II security violation. The prohibition was observed as standing practice from the establishment of the register and was formalized following Incident CASE-0117-3.
Use of LARARIUM data by the Office of Bureau Personnel is governed separately. ████████
Terminal appearance. When a terminal appearance is logged (see Phenomenological Summary), the household is retained on the register for twelve months and then retired. A household that records any further appearance during the retention period is to be restored to active status. No such restoration has been recorded.
PHENOMENOLOGICAL SUMMARY
CASE-0117 is a strawberry-flavored confection that appears, without identifiable source, in family households. It has been recorded in every inhabited region the Bureau has surveyed, and no population has been identified in which it is absent. Each unit consists of a hard sugar shell approximately 2 cm across enclosing a soft red filling, in a cellophane wrapper printed with a strawberry pattern and closed with a single twist at the top. OPM analysis has found the composition consistent with ordinary confectionery. The origin of the material has not been determined: units are not drawn from stock elsewhere, and no depletion of any local material has been measured in association with an appearance. Wrapper printing has varied in minor respects over the documented period, and no such variation has been correlated with any other property of the phenomenon. Units are edible and routinely eaten, with no recorded effect on those who eat them.
Appearances occur at the family unit's primary receptacle, typically a dish, tin, or jar kept at the dwelling where the family most often gathers. In most cultures surveyed, this is the home of the eldest living generation, which accounts for the popular association of the confection with grandparents. When that generation dies or relocates, appearances shift to the dwelling that next serves as the family's gathering place, usually within one to three months. The receptacle itself need not move. Secondary appearances occur in the pockets, handbags, and vehicles of family members, most often after time spent at the primary dwelling. No appearance has been directly observed. Households placed under continuous photographic or film monitoring record no appearances while monitoring lasts, and resume their prior frequency within one count interval after it ends.
The phenomenon attaches to the family unit rather than to a dwelling or an individual. Its boundaries follow local kinship norms, not a fixed genealogical rule. OPM's working definition is the immediate and moderately extended family (parents, children, grandparents, aunts and uncles, and first cousins), with the inclusion of adoptive, step, and in-law relations varying by culture. Individuals without a living family unit record no appearances.
Appearance frequency corresponds to family unit cohesion on a near-linear scale. Across the LARARIUM register, the correlation between fortnightly appearance count and independent cohesion assessment has held at or above r = 0.93 in every decade measured. Register values range from zero to approximately forty units per fortnight. CASE-0117 is assessed as an indicator of cohesion and not as a cause of it. Neither the presence nor the introduction of units has been shown to affect the family units in which they appear.
Changes in frequency precede the corresponding changes in cohesion by three to fourteen weeks, with a median lead of six weeks. The lead applies equally to decline and to recovery. Whether the lead reflects anticipation of a future state or detection of a present state not yet expressed in the family's behavior has not been determined.
A family unit whose cohesion fails entirely records a terminal appearance: a single final unit, after which no further appearances occur. The terminal unit is commonly found outside the primary receptacle. Events recorded as following a terminal appearance include death, estrangement, and dissolution of the unit.
Civilians do not regard the phenomenon as anomalous. Units are treated as ordinary household confectionery, and family members asked about them routinely say that another member of the same family bought them. Before 1951, such attributions within a single family frequently contradicted one another. This was not remarked upon by the families concerned.
NOTES & OBSERVATIONS
1953-04-22 — Correlation with family relations — Dr. H. ████████ / BAR-OPM-10292
Across 61 households canvassed in four countries since 1949, appearance counts track the quality of family relations, as assessed by field researchers, more closely than any other variable tested. Household income, dwelling size, and number of residents show no comparable relationship. Recommend a standing register with a fixed counting method: since 1951, informant reports have been unable to distinguish appearances from units bought at retail.
1961-09-01 — Establishment of the LARARIUM register — Dr. L. ████████ / BAR-OPM-08841
Program PG-0117-600-01 "LARARIUM" authorized, with an initial register of 120 households across nine countries. Ultraviolet marking replaces informant-based counts in full. Funding for field cover was approved at two-thirds of the requested figure; count intervals are set at fourteen days rather than the seven originally proposed, and the register is sized accordingly.
1966-02-14 — Film monitoring — Dr. L. ████████ / BAR-OPM-08841
Three registered households were filmed continuously for thirty days each. No appearances were recorded in any of them, and all three resumed prior frequency within one count interval after filming ended. A fourth household was filmed with a concealed camera, without the knowledge of any household member. Result identical. Film monitoring is discontinued, and the affected periods are excluded from register data.
1974-06-03 — Lead time — Dr. L. ████████ / BAR-OPM-08841
Retrospective analysis of thirteen years of register data establishes that frequency changes precede cohesion changes, with a median lead of six weeks. LARARIUM counts therefore describe the condition of registered families before those families are in a position to describe it themselves. Field researchers are reminded that the standing practice of non-intervention applies without exception.
1979-11-20 — Terminal appearances — Dr. L. ████████ / BAR-OPM-08841
Forty-seven terminal appearances have been logged since 1961. Thirty-one were found outside the primary receptacle. Of those, twenty-nine were found among the personal effects of a single family member. In twenty-two of the twenty-nine, that member was the subject of the event that followed. The other seven have not been explained.
1988-03-09 — Proposed temporal classification — OPM Quantum Studies Sector
The Sector proposed adding hazard category T to the case's classification on the basis of the lead. Classification review declined the proposal on the grounds that the lead cannot be distinguished from detection of a present state not yet expressed in behavior. Both readings remain open. The Sector notes that, on the second reading, a family that does not yet know it is failing is already failing, and that this reading is no more comfortable than the first.
2004-02-11 — OBP use of register data — Dr. S. ████████ / BAR-OPM-19207
Since 1975, the Office of Bureau Personnel has had forty-one households belonging to the family units of serving Bureau personnel added to the LARARIUM register without the knowledge of the personnel concerned. OBP uses the counts to reassign personnel away from sensitive duty ahead of a projected decline. An objection was submitted on 2004-01-29 on the grounds that this constitutes action upon register data. The reply is reproduced in full:
TO: Dr. S. ████████, OPM, Lead Investigator, CASE-0117
FROM: Office of Bureau Personnel, Supervisor ████████
RE: Your memorandum of 2004-01-29The non-intervention requirement governs Bureau conduct toward registered civilian households. Reassignment of Bureau personnel is not conduct toward a household. It is conduct toward Bureau personnel, which is the mandate of this Office.
Personnel are not informed of the basis for reassignment, or of anything that would permit them to act on it. The requirement is therefore observed in full.
No form exists for this procedure and none will be created.
Addendum, 2004-02-20. Referred to the OPM Division Director. No response is recorded.
2019-07-30 — Household R-0014 — Dr. Miriam Achterberg / BAR-OPM-31164
R-0014 has been counted continuously since 1961, longer than any other household on the register. Appearances have moved dwellings twice, in 1977 and 2011, each time following the death of the eldest member of the family unit. In 1977, the family took the original glass dish to the new dwelling. In 2011, they kept the candies in a biscuit tin instead, and appearances followed the tin. The count has held between nineteen and twenty-four units per fortnight for fifty-eight years, the narrowest range on the register.
DISCOVERY LOG
CASE-0117 came to Bureau attention in October 1948 through a household inventory conducted by the Department of Liminal Sanitation. During post-incident normalization of a residence after an unrelated matter, DLS personnel were required to trace the source of every consumable item in the dwelling. One item could not be traced: a glass dish of strawberry candies in the front room. The widow of the household stated that her daughter bought them. The daughter stated that her mother bought them. Neither woman appeared to regard the discrepancy as worth discussing. The DLS inventory clerk logged the item as source: none found and referred it on.
Detective A. ████████ / BAR-ACD-04417 of the Anomalous Cases Division was assigned to the referral. Over the following three weeks, he canvassed thirty households in two cities and found the candies in twenty-six. He found no shop that stocked them and no confectioner that made them, and no family he questioned could say with any consistency who had bought them. The twenty-seventh dish he found was outside the canvass, in his mother's house. His field note records that he had eaten the candies from her dish since childhood and had never once wondered where they came from.
The phenomenon was classified as self-normalizing in mid-1949. OPM began canvassing households the same year, initially to establish distribution, and by 1953 had identified the correspondence with family relations that now defines the case. In the interval, Incident CASE-0117-1 led the Bureau to establish commercial cover despite the classification.
Civilian testimony places the candies in family homes at least two generations before the first Bureau record. Earlier presence has not been established, and no reference to the phenomenon has been located in predecessor-organization records.
As of the last review, the LARARIUM register holds 412 households, fourteen of them in decline. Under the non-intervention requirement, no action has been taken in respect of any of them.
INCIDENT LOG
1950-03-04 – Incident CASE-0117-1: The Córdoba Inquiry
Héctor Albornoz, a columnist for a daily newspaper in Córdoba, Argentina, published a column on 1950-03-04 asking readers to identify the maker of the strawberry candies kept in every grandmother's house in the province. The column drew two letters, each attributing the purchase to a relative of its writer. Albornoz continued the inquiry privately over the following eleven weeks. He wrote to confectioners in Córdoba, Rosario, and Buenos Aires, to the provincial commerce registry, and to the national customs authority, and received the same answer from each: no such product was manufactured, registered, or imported. ACD learned of the inquiry on 1950-05-19 through ████████, by which point Albornoz had drafted a second column describing the candies as a product without a factory.
The second column was not published. On 1950-05-27, Albornoz received a Class III amnestic covering the inquiry and its correspondence, and DAI recovered the correspondence itself. He resumed work at the newspaper the following month and did not return to the subject.
The DAI assessment recorded the amnestic and the recovery of the correspondence as breaches of REG-800-12 §3. It found that self-normalization had held: the first column produced no public interest, and Albornoz was the only civilian known to have pursued the question. It also found that a second inquirer with greater resources would reach the same dead end, and that the dead end was itself the exposure. The DAI Division Director declined to rely on self-normalization a second time. Cover Story CC-0117-01 was authorized on 1950-09-12, and the first commercial cover entity began operating in Arroyito, Córdoba Province, ten months later.
Inquiries made during the 1961 register intake established that no member of Albornoz's family unit had kept the candies in the house during the period of his inquiry, or for some years before it.
1983-05-16 – Incident CASE-0117-2: Introduced Units
Register household R-0213 had been in steady decline for five months, falling from eighteen appearances per fortnight to seven. OPM Researcher ████████ proposed using the household to test whether introduced units would alter either cohesion or count. The responsible OPM Sector Lead approved the test on condition that R-0213 be excluded from register analysis for its duration.
Twenty-four units were taken from register household R-0088, which held a stable count in the high twenties, and marked with a second ink that fluoresces at a distinguishable wavelength. They were placed in R-0213's primary receptacle in three lots of eight at consecutive counts, beginning on 1983-05-16. Family members ate the introduced units at the same rate as native ones, and the cohesion assessment continued on its prior trajectory. Over the six weeks following the first placement, the household's own appearances fell twenty-three short of the figure projected from the prior trend, a shortfall within counting error of twenty-four.
We put in twenty-four. It took back twenty-three. Whatever is keeping the count, it does not count ours.
Field note, Researcher ████████, 1983-06-28
Introduction of units into registered households was prohibited on 1983-07-11, since any further test would remove a household from usable data for the test's duration. The same offset has since been confirmed for units that enter registered households through retail purchase, resolving a standing question about the effect of commercial stock on register counts. R-0213 continued to decline at its prior slope and recorded a terminal appearance on 1983-10-02.
1996-11-08 – Incident CASE-0117-3: The Telephone Call
OPM Researcher D. ████████ / BAR-OPM-22650 had counted register household R-0151 since 1985. The primary receptacle was at the home of a widowed father, aged seventy-nine. Beginning in August 1996, the household's count fell from fourteen per fortnight to three over four consecutive counts. The quarterly cohesion assessment recorded that the father's eldest daughter had not visited in more than a year.
On 1996-11-08, the Researcher placed an anonymous telephone call to the daughter, told her that her father was unwell, and advised her to visit. She visited on 1996-11-10. At the count of 1996-11-14, the primary receptacle held no unmarked units. A single unmarked unit was recovered from the pocket of the father's cardigan, which was hanging in the front hall. This was logged as a terminal appearance. The father died on 1996-11-27, of causes recorded as natural.
The Researcher reported the call on 1996-12-02.
I didn't tell her anything she couldn't have known. I said he wasn't well. He was seventy-nine. She went. I want that written down somewhere, that she went. I know it didn't move the count. I counted it.
Statement, Researcher D. ████████, 1996-12-02
The call was classified as a Level II security violation of standing practice. The Researcher was removed from LARARIUM fieldwork and reassigned to ████████. The non-intervention requirement was formalized in this case's Containment Protocol on 1997-01-15, with breach set at the same level. Whether the visit altered anything the register does not measure cannot be determined.
EVIDENTIARY ATTACHMENTS
PG-0117-600-01 "LARARIUM"
Commercial cover entity: Arcor
Strawberry candy line ledger, 1952 to 1954
CASE-0117 unit, OPM laboratory
Lead-time working plot, 1974
End of file.